Making Sense Of Pakistan Politics Musharraf, Zardari & Supreme Court

Making Sense Of Pakistan Politics Musharraf, Zardari & Supreme Court

By guestwriter at 27 July, 2009, 5:02 am

A AHMEDQURAISHI.COM Report

Ikram Sehgal: If the Army can stomach Zardari, why should they mind Musharraf back as president one day? Musharraf’s fate is the same as those who close their ears to good advice and shoot messengers bringing bad news.


The longest running horror film: Pakistani Democracy

In his analysis published in today’s The News International, Mr. Ikram Sehgal provides an interesting assessment of the latest episode in the Pakistani political circus. The focus is on Pervez Musharraf’s legal problems, the real strength of President Zardari versus Nawaz Sharif/Prime Minister Gilani. And, most importantly, why the Supreme Court of Pakistan under the restored Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry is avoiding taking up the NRO, the law that whitewashed financial corruption at the highest levels in government. Finally, Mr. Sehgal makes some interesting observations about how the Pakistani military leadership could be viewing this mess.

ON MUSHARRAF’S FATE:

Pervez Musharraf must be content in his London apartment, in less than a year Zardari has replaced him as the unpopular figure in Pakistan. Unlike Zardari, Musharraf always enjoyed a base of popularity. Given the present abysmal performance of the Zardari-Gilani government, this will force-multiply exponentially. If the Army can stomach Zardari, why should they mind Musharraf back as president one day? Even though Musharraf’s Oct 12, 1999, takeover was illegal in all senses of the word, in all fairness it was popular in the streets with both the intelligentsia and the masses fed up with bad governance. No tears were shed for the Nawaz Sharif regime. Almost everyone welcomed, myself included, a military coup in the name of hope, or as hope is known in Pakistan, “the doctrine of necessity.” That public faith in Pervez Musharraf eroded dramatically after the rigged 2002 elections was no surprise. That is the fate of all who close their ears to good advice and shoot messengers bringing bad news. As long as Asif Zardari does not meddle with the military, and until now he has shown no inclination for this rather fatal pastime, the military hierarchy seems more comfortable having him (Kayani was DG ISI before he became COAS, he cannot claim ignorance about all the Zardari controversies) around than Mian Sahib. One can understand the Army’s lack of enthusiasm in repealing the 17th Amendment and Clause 58 (2) (b). Why shackle themselves for the next time around? It stands to reason they seem supportive (as does the US) of a strong president and an ineffectual prime minister.

ON WHETHER ZARDARI IS CORNERED:

Despite being under pressure lately, Zardari has made notable accomplishments. The success of sorts in Swat has been bought at a heavy price, the blood of our young men in uniform. Sufi Muhammad took a day as a sign of weakness the abject and shameful surrender by Pakistan’s Parliament in its passage of a resolution for so-called peace in less than a day. The Taliban were not prepared for the outraged reaction of the Pakistani public. Their attempt to brutally take over Swat and adjacent districts was fully exploited by the Army. That most of the IDPs are returning is a clear measure of the military’s success (and, it so happens, Zardari’s). Complete success will only be possible when Maulana Fazlullah and his top aides are physically eliminated. Surviving March 15 virtually unscathed is a credit to Zardari’s political craftsmanship, being reduced to a figurehead president is certainly not in keeping with his personality, or the shenanigans of his friends. A master of the art of playing for time, he has again consigned the 17th Amendment to the cold storage of a parliamentary committee. Yusuf Reza Gilani vacillated in the name of party unity when the opportunity arose to get back the prime minister’s powers under the 1973 Constitution. By not maintaining the March 15 momentum he blew his chances. That the Supreme Court decision overturning Mian Sahib’s conviction on the aircraft hijack case came the same day as Zardari’s Raiwind visit is no coincidence. Zardari needed to head off Mian Nawaz Sharif running loose in the National Assembly with Gilani on constitutional issues.

ON DOUBLE STANDARDS OF NAWAZ SHARIF & THE RESTORED CHIEF JUSTICE:

While Mian Sahib must be congratulated for not becoming another political beneficiary of the infamous National Reconciliation Ordinance (NRO), nonetheless his “democratic” silence about this blackest of black laws is intriguing. Even though it seems they presently seem to lack enthusiasm, there seems to be method in the Supreme Court’s benign ignorance of something that has disfigured Pakistan’s politics and threatens our existence as a nation. At present all eyes are on the Supreme Court as they decide on the blatantly illegal Nov 3 action. The NRO will have to be addressed; his lordships cannot ignore it forever under “a doctrine of necessity.” Ordinary mortals do expect that their lordships while suo moto-ing everything under the sun, will ultimately address this black hole in Pakistan’s heart. The NRO provides for London being the first (and Dubai the second) home for our leaders. Our leaders alternate in giving us bad governance, collect their booty (and their gifts which seems to be their right by being president and/or prime minister), and go back to London (and Dubai), at least till all is forgotten and forgiven by our gullible masses, and their popularity returns.

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Comments
Ahsan July 27, 2009

“Democracy is the best revenge” he said. “My Democracy” is also what he said. Our currupt and inept Leaders are fooling the west into believing that they will save this country by introducing Democracy….They are busy making ammendments and working on laws, to prevent any futher Military interventions…what a joke, If I may say so! Its basically trying to pave way for their continuing curruption, loot and plunder with out any check…from any body! Military being the only viable organization in this country must be allowed to keep a strict check on these modern day Pirates turned viceroys, for the good of the country! What Pakistan needs is a strong selfless, morally incurrptable DICTATOR who can fix the wrongs look evil in the eye and say to the world , we shall rise again, come what may…. democracy …my foot!

Shahid Raza July 27, 2009

With all respects to our judicial system and the so called Paid( from Nawaz Sharif) Legal practitioners who cheat their clients but call for rule of Law , it needs to be noted that JUSTICE is not Specific but uniform for all.Many will go down including those who hold absolute power in the name of Justice if justice is to be applied uniformly. All this hype is because two mistakes of Musharraf for which he can not be held responsible: >Getting born across the border, >Not belonging to entrenched land owners or business tycoons but a middle class family. God help Pakistan.

Sabeen Hafiz July 27, 2009

I don’t agree with the last para of the article. In my opinion, all the looters and plunderers will have to pay a very high price for the heinous crimes committed by these scoundrels against the state and its poor people. they will all vanish away leaving their looted money for others use. First will be Mush followed by Zardaris, Sharifs, Chaudhrys etc etc etc. You have seen to what extent Mush went to protect his throne and what has become of him; a very dreadful end is awaiting him. Zardari, in connivance with other plunderers enterd the prsidency to multiply his existing looted money but this will prove to be trap for him just like a ‘kookie’ for a rat. Just wait and see.

Barlas July 27, 2009

Very Good Article by Ahmad Qureshi, one can disagree with some parts of his article, but I would say that after reading the Articles written by Ahmad Qureshi reflects the message that he is a true Pakistani, May allah other journalists also be act like Ahmad Qureshi.

shaheen July 28, 2009

Pervez Musharraf was unsuccessful at routing out militants in Pakistan in part because he did not have popular support. The new civilian administration is more effective at fighting terrorists. I think President Zardari and PM Gillani showing significant political savvy in negotiating Pakistan’s first-ever coalition government. Parliamentary leaders doing well at the moment. Macroeconomic stability on its way. Pakistan is fighting war on terror, and government is managing safe return of IDP’s, there is coalition government in 3 provinces. Even the opposition in Pakistan is not ready to face the music and they are happy with the current arrangements as they don’t have to take the impact. PML(N) is not joining the cabinet and they are just enjoying the roost in one province. Not only Zardari has shown acumen and lots of wisdom in dealing with the redoubtable challenges faced by the country, he has also done at the most difficult juncture of the history. Leading Pakistan in these tough times is the world’s most unwanted job and that is what is done by Zardari.

Shaista July 28, 2009

@shaheen

You are absolutely right ! ,

ali July 28, 2009

First thing first,,, N.R.O was authorised and implified by none other the then president/army chief(mush) so that means another petition against his traitorous ass! If this is the essence of mr quershi’s rewriting the words of mr sehgal then it was unneccessary cause we already know that. So mr qureshi, anything else to make us hate democracy and grovel at feet of ex-DICKtators or wanna be dicktators??

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